Moore's Law Focuses On Compute, Ray's Law Addresses Growth of Intelligence

In the computing world, Moore’s law stood for 50 years.  In 1965, Gordon Moore, one of the co-founders of Intel observed that the number of transistors that coud be placed on a micro chip doubled every two years.  This guiding principal for the semiconductor and high tech industry led to Moore's Law where compute doubles every two years.  

In the Artificial Intelligence world, there's Ray's Law.  AI capabilities double every 7 months.  At this seven month doubling rate, in two years, this will be a 1500% increase. In six years, AI intelligence capability will be 10,0000%. Credit to David Giambruno for codifying this.
 

Figure 1. Ray's Law AI Capability Doubling

The Bottom Line

The AI revolution is moving at an exponential pace that will exceed human comprehension.  Technology leaders need to shift from linear thinking to geometrical thinking.  Investors betting on AI face a once in a generation frameshift in winners and losers

Your POV

Have you made the frameshift to exponential thinking? Will you be ready for AI?

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